Fieldwork

On Monday, around lunchtime, the reporter left the Harrisburg Hilton and started walking towards the Hall Manor pool.

He had no idea how long it would take to walk there. The farthest he’d gone south on foot from city hall was to a fire at Paxton and Cameron. On the map, which he poached via the Hilton’s Wi-Fi, it looked pretty far.

He passed the historical society and the shuttered Paxton fire station. At the I-83 off-ramp, he headed left over the railroad tracks, which for the moment carried no trains.

He was surprised at how accommodating the route was to pedestrians. Everything in sight seemed designed for cars: used car lots, a gas station, the wide-laned roads. It was a car’s, car’s, car’s world, as some Paul Simon-James Brown hybrid might have sung.

And yet the paint was bright on the crosswalks, and drivers respected the walk signal. At 13th, where the overpass crosses the highway, a dump truck with a sputtering diesel engine stopped dead on the ramp, yielding the right of way.

Why was he walking to the Hall Manor pool? Because the new mayor was going to get wet there. Who doesn’t want to see the new mayor get wet?

The pool had been closed for several years. It was leaking. Earlier that summer, though, the mayor scraped together money from a federal grant program for repairs. The pool was supposed to open in August, and the city put out feelers for contractors, but nobody bid. The opening was delayed.

The reporter was not good at predicting these things. In July, he wrote a story about how the pool would soon be open. To help tell the story, he went to the other city pool, east of the Broad Street Market. He drifted through the empty bathhouse, bought a sno-cone, and stood around the perimeter, creeping people out.

The reporter crossed over the highway and was very suddenly on unfamiliar ground. To his right was a grid of barracks-like apartments, connected by pale tributaries of sidewalk. Clotheslines were strung up between them. In the middle distance, a woman swept her stoop. To his left was a school.

He headed up Hanover Street into Hall Manor proper. More barracks, more hanging clothes. He walked up a vein of gold dirt, worn down by people cutting over the grass to save time. The grass was strewn with hundreds of empty potato chip bags, glittering like candy.

At last, he arrived at the pool, where news crews were setting up cameras. He wasn’t sure how, but he planned to record video on his phone, take photos and take notes in his notebook. He hoped he had enough attention left over to actually experience what was going on.

Soon the mayor arrived, in gym shorts and a T-shirt. The T-shirt, not really surprising, was still a relief. A shirtless mayor could be traumatizing.

The mayor and a member of his cabinet, similarly attired, chatted warmly with the gathered officials and members of the media. Two buckets were filled with water, then with ice, and left to chill. Everyone gave speeches, about the buckets and about the pool. Then the council president climbed a ladder.

“Eenie, meenie, miney, moe,” the council president said. She dumped one bucket on the cabinet member, whose note to himself seemed to be, A man shows no emotion. Then she dumped a bucket on the mayor, whose note was, It’s OK to scream.

They jumped in the pool. They toweled off. The mood was festive. The pool would reopen officially next year.

The reporter wanted to go back by a different route. He headed north to Sycamore, finding himself all at once in a lovely, tree-lined neighborhood. He came upon a corner bar, neon beer signs in the window of a brick-colored, split-block façade.

He went inside. Three ladies at the bar, nursing Miller High Lifes, looked him over. He took a stool and ordered a lager. One of the ladies suggested he was FBI.

He was not FBI, he said. He was a reporter. He was up here for the event at the pool. Where the mayor was getting wet—

They were not concerned about the wetness of the mayor. They were concerned about the pool. Kids had drowned in that pool, they insisted. The fence was too low.

“Drain that motherfucker. Drain it,” one of the ladies said.

The bartender did not think the city should drain it. He thought it should put barbed wire on the fences and a tarp over the water, or else it would freeze in the winter and kids would sneak in and break through the ice and drown.

The woman nearest the reporter, who wore a leather jacket and glasses, said she used to put a pool out in front of her Hall Manor apartment, even though it wasn’t allowed. “You’d think I had the Hall Manor pool,” she said. “Kids would come from all around.”

On the wall of the bar was a list of barred people. PINEAPPLE JUICE FOR MIX DRINKS ONLY, a sign underneath the list said.

The bartender began to reconsider his position. Perhaps a tarp would not be so good, he reasoned. Kids could walk out on it, get tangled up, and drown. “Yep, a tarp is more of a problem,” he concluded. “But that’s just one man’s opinion.”

What was the reporter trying to achieve here, crouched with his preposterous notebook in the middle of the afternoon in a corner bar? He thought about it and couldn’t come up with an answer. He settled up, stepped out into the sunshine, and headed down the hill.

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TheBurg Podcast, Sept. 19, 2014

Welcome to TheBurg Podcast, a weekly roundup of news in and around Harrisburg.

Sept. 19, 2014: Burg editor-in-chief Larry Binda and senior writer Paul Barker discuss the conversion of Front St. to two lanes (and one bike lane!), a bed & breakfast proposal for the Mary K mansions, a new renter at the debt-laden Verizon Tower and a homeownership incentive for PinnacleHealth and city employees.

 

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State To Rent in Downtown Verizon Tower, Helping Relieve Unfunded City Debt

The so-called Verizon Tower in downtown Harrisburg, which the phone company plans to vacate in early 2016.

The so-called Verizon Tower in downtown Harrisburg, which the phone company plans to vacate in early 2016.

The state Department of General Services signed off this week on a 17-year lease of office space in downtown Harrisburg, in a deal that is expected to relieve the city of most of the $41.6 million in debt obligations associated with the facility, state officials confirmed Friday.

The office space, in the so-called Verizon Tower in Strawberry Square, threatened to become vacant upon the expiration of the phone company’s lease in early 2016, leaving the city on the hook for payments on the bonds issued to acquire the building.

The new lease, between DGS and the Harristown Development Corporation, the developer of Strawberry Square, is for a base amount of $65 million over the 17-year term, said Troy Thompson, a DGS spokesman.

That amount will rent office space for close to 900 workers to be relocated from what is known as the DGS Annex, an office complex occupying the grounds of the former state hospital above Cameron Street, Thompson said. Among the state workers to be relocated are employees from the Department of Public Welfare, the Department of Transportation, the state police and DGS itself, he said.

Though DGS signed the documents yesterday, the lease still requires the signature of the attorney general’s office to be fully executed. Thompson said Friday he did not know when the AG’s signature was expected. A spokesman for the state Board of Commissioners of Public Grounds and Buildings confirmed Friday that the board had approved the lease, pending the AG’s approval.

Steve Goldfield, a financial advisor who worked on the lease negotiations, said on Thursday that the rental agreement was made possible in part by the city’s parking deal last fall, which served as the keystone of the state-sponsored plan to resolve Harrisburg’s historic debt crisis.

“The state doesn’t usually do this, because parking usually kills the deal,” Goldfield said of the commonwealth’s decision to move workers downtown. But, after factoring in savings from a discounted parking contract that DGS signed as part of the recovery plan last fall, the state stands to save significantly on the office rentals, Goldfield said.

That contract, a 30-year agreement to lease 4,306 parking spaces in the downtown parking system, was a critical component of the recovery plan’s parking deal, a long-term lease of city parking assets that Goldfield also worked closely on as an advisor to Harrisburg’s state-appointed receiver.

Under the contract, the state agreed to pay an increasing amount per month for each space, starting at $130 per month early this year and climbing to $180 per month in 2016. But the contract also includes the automatic addition of 765 spaces by 2016, of which 344 will be rented at a discounted rate of $100 per month.

Those rates, according to Goldfield, helped achieve the savings realized in the DGS lease, which he estimated at around $1.6 million per year. Other factors in the cost savings are the rental price itself as well as a guaranteed energy savings contract that will accompany the lease, he said.

The current cost of housing employees at the DGS Annex is around $6.3 million per year, according to Thompson, the DGS spokesman.

Thompson described the DGS lease Friday as “mutually beneficial” for the state and the city, noting that, in addition to saving tax dollars on office rental costs, the lease also moves the state closer to being able to sell the old state hospital grounds.

Harrisburg is exposed to the office building’s debt because of how its acquisition was financed. In 1998, the Harrisburg Redevelopment Authority issued $23.6 million in revenue bonds to fund the purchase from the city of land and facilities in Strawberry Square.

Of these, $6.9 million, the Series A bonds of 1998, were to be repaid solely with rents paid for office space in the building. But the city also guaranteed the debt, such that if rents were insufficient to cover debt service, the city would be obligated to make up the difference.

Debt service on the Series A bonds starts coming due in the fall of 2016, with an initial payment of $930,000. The semiannual payments climb thereafter, from a total of $1,880,000 due in 2017 to $2,320,000 due in 2032. A final payment of $6,175,000 must be made on Nov. 1, 2033.

With the departure of Verizon, whose lease expires on Feb. 28, 2016, the Harrisburg Redevelopment Authority would have no way to meet the debt service, and the city would be left holding the bag for $41.6 million, Goldfield said.

After operating costs and other expenses are taken out, rent paid under the DGS lease will not provide total coverage of the debt obligation, Goldfield acknowledged. Those expenses include about $1 million per year in real estate taxes, $900,000 per year in utilities and $800,000 per year in common-space charges applied to occupants in Strawberry Square, according to Neal West, senior vice president and legal counsel for Harristown Development Corporation.

These costs leave about $750,000 per year for debt service under the DGS lease, West said. When asked why, even with its offices full, the building could not adequately cover debts as anticipated in the 1998 bond issue, West said he could not speculate about the calculations made at the time. He did observe, however, that the downtown real estate market had remained essentially flat since the late 90s, whereas the bond financing may have rested on the assumption it would grow.

Goldfield also noted Thursday that the DGS lease includes an option to purchase the building at the end of the term, at a price of around $4 million. If the state exercises the option, he said, the deal would bring the city’s total exposure down below $10 million. The debt can then be refinanced, in part through negotiations with Assured Guaranty, which insured the 1998 bonds, he said.

A 2012 report by the Patriot News described the city’s use of proceeds from the 1998 sale as follows: $10.3 million was used to repay hotel bonds previously issued by HRA; $4.7 million was placed in a “capital projects fund” for projects across the city; and $501,861 was used to repay bonds from the Harrisburg Leasing Authority.

The city’s then-finance director, Robert Kroboth, could not account for how the remaining $4.7 million in proceeds was spent, according to the report.

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Programs Launched to Boost Homeownership in Harrisburg

HousesWeb

These houses in Uptown Harrisburg are looking for buyers.

Attention renters: Two new programs were announced today to encourage homeownership in Harrisburg for people who work in the city.

PinnacleHealth announced “Home in Harrisburg,” which will provide up to $5,000 in financial assistance to encourage its employees to purchase homes in the city. Funds would be payable at settlement on the home purchase.

“The program was launched to our employees earlier this month, and we’ve already had several employees interested in participating,” said Michael Young, PinnacleHealth’s president and CEO.

In addition, the Papenfuse administration presented its “Walk to Work” initiative, which will offer $2,000 to municipal employees to help with a down payment or with closing costs for home purchases. Under the program, the Pennsylvania Housing Finance Agency will provide up to an additional $8,000 in 10-year, no-interest loans to city workers.

Mayor Eric Papenfuse said the city had enough money budgeted to allow as many as 50 of its employees to participate in the program.

The programs are limited to workers who don’t already own houses in Harrisburg. Papenfuse said he hopes other businesses will offer their employees financial help to buy homes in the city.

At the same press conference, PinnacleHealth presented Papenfuse with a PILOT (Payment in Lieu of Taxes) check of $300,000, about double its annual contribution in recent years. PILOTs are paid on a voluntary basis by nonprofits that are not required to pay property taxes.

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City Receives 11 Applicants for Treasurer

Harrisburg has received 11 applications for city treasurer, the city clerk’s office said in an email Tuesday morning.

Applications were due by the end of the day yesterday.

The city is now reviewing the applicants’ eligibility, city clerk Kirk Petroski said in the email. To be eligible, an applicant must be 21 years old and a resident of the city, and must also have some accounting experience.

Once applicants have been screened for eligibility, they will be invited to a public City Council meeting on Monday, Sept. 29, at 5:30 p.m., where they will be interviewed by council members.

The meeting was originally to take place this Thursday, Sept. 18, but was postponed, the clerk’s email said. Asked by phone about the reason for the postponement, Petroski said it was to allow additional time for the city to conduct background checks on the applicants.

Following the interviews, each council member will nominate one applicant for a second round of interviews at the same meeting. Council will then vote to select the new city treasurer, who will be sworn in that night.

Petroski also said Tuesday that he hoped to release the applications publicly by next Monday.

The city treasurer position, which pays $20,000 per year, is normally filled by general election. But the position was left vacant earlier this month after the former treasurer, John Campbell, resigned following an investigation into his alleged theft of around $8,500 from a charitable program unrelated to city government.

Campbell, who has subsequently been charged with the additional theft of around $2,700 from a local political action committee, is awaiting a preliminary hearing.

In the meantime, Paul Wambach, who retired in 2012 after serving as Harrisburg’s treasurer for 20 years, has volunteered to fill the role in an interim capacity.

This story has been updated with additional information from the city clerk.

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TheBurg Podcast, Sept. 12, 2014

Welcome to TheBurg Podcast, a weekly roundup of news in and around Harrisburg.

Week 1, Sept. 8 – 12, 2014: Burg editor-in-chief Larry Binda and senior writer Paul Barker discuss personnel changes in city hall, the ongoing controversy over the Civil War Museum funding, and the 14th St. sinkhole.

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Capital Region Water To Share Costs of Next Sinkhole Study

Capital Region Water, Harrisburg’s water and sewer authority, will split with city government the costs of an expanded sinkhole survey in the area of S. 14th Street, following a 2-1 vote Wednesday morning that marked the first non-unanimous vote of the authority’s current three-member board.

Board members Bill Cluck and Westburn Majors, who voted in favor of the spending, said that, although they both wrestled with the decision, they ultimately came to view the expense as an investment to protect authority assets—namely, water and sewer pipes that could be damaged by further sinkhole activity.

“This is not the same as buying artifacts,” Cluck said, referring to the often-criticized expenditure of authority dollars on Civil War and other museum artifacts during the administration of former Mayor Stephen Reed. “I think this is a shared responsibility to address an unprecedented situation.”

So far, the authority has dedicated about $271,000 to help deal with the effects of the sinkhole that opened last March, displacing residents from at least nine homes and imperiling the homes and finances of several more. The money was directed towards street repair and towards repairing a water main that the authority says was crushed in the sinkhole collapse. It also paid for half the costs of an initial $38,200 study of the street’s sinkhole activity, board chairman Marc Kurowski said.

Kurowski cited the commitment of these funds in explaining what he described as his “tough” decision to vote against the measure.

“‘Tragic’ is not too strong a word for what folks are dealing with down there,” he said before casting his vote. But, he added, he felt a “little bit nervous” about spending any additional Capital Region Water funds, which ultimately come from ratepayers and are meant to be spent providing water and sewer services.

The study is expected to cost $43,700 and will cover a larger area than the original geologic investigation, completed last week by the Camp Hill-based engineering firm Gannett Fleming and unveiled at a City Council committee meeting last Thursday.

That investigation, which focused on the 1400-block of S. 14th Street between Magnolia Street and Cloverly Terrace in south Harrisburg, identified five potential fractures in the limestone and 11 potential voids in the soil beneath the surface of the street. It concluded there was a high probability of future sinkhole activity in the area, which city engineer Wayne Martin described Tuesday as having one of the worst sinkhole problems he has seen in his 20 years as an engineer.

Following the Gannett Fleming report, Mayor Eric Papenfuse indicated last week that his administration would seek state and federal aid to help cover the cost of mitigating the area’s sinkholes, which would far outstrip the city’s ability to pay. “This will take millions of dollars, and the city doesn’t have that,” he said. Martin has estimated the cost will be between $1 and $3 million, though he said the estimate was preliminary and could change substantially depending on the results of the expanded survey.

Where the city would find such outside assistance is not clear. Joyce Davis, the mayor’s spokeswoman, said Tuesday that Papenfuse meets routinely with both state and federal lawmakers with whom he is exploring possible routes to receiving aid. Among these lawmakers is state Sen. Rob Teplitz, who said by phone Tuesday that he had put in a $24 to $25 million capital request to address sinkholes across the city, although this did not include the recent development on 14th Street.

The state, however, has funding problems of its own, and Teplitz acknowledged that it might not want to set the precedent of helping Harrisburg when other local governments also face sinkhole-related problems. “I have the request in,” he said. “I’m not necessarily holding my breath waiting for it in the short-term.”

A governor can also petition the federal government for aid with natural disasters, though that prospect looks even less likely. To qualify for aid under federal law, a disaster must surpass the capacity of both state and local governments to address it, a spokesman for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, or FEMA, explained. He was unaware of any case of a sinkhole being declared a natural disaster, thus qualifying for federal aid, in the past four years.

The potential threat of sinkholes has led to increased interest recently in sinkhole insurance, according to Andrew Enders, a third-generation insurance professional at Enders Insurance Associates in Harrisburg.

Sinkholes have long been identified as an issue in the central Pennsylvania region, but the concern for insurers was traditionally focused on areas outside Harrisburg, including Palmyra, Hershey, Annville and Hummelstown, Enders said.

Sinkhole insurance is excluded from a typical homeowner’s insurance policy and must be “bought back” in an addendum to the policy, Enders said. In addition, coverage typically only applies in the event of structural damage to a home—and not in the case of a sinkhole simply opening on a property, which an owner may be required to remediate himself.

In the Harrisburg housing market, sinkhole insurance typically costs an additional $60 to $150 in premiums per year, Enders said. (Enders Insurance Associates is one of TheBurg’s community publishers.)

In addition to the expanded survey, the city has sought to fund a $16,900 preliminary-design study to come up with options for mitigating the area’s sinkhole problems. On Tuesday, the Capital Region Water board declined to vote on a motion to fund half of this third study, which Cluck described as “premature.”

“If we’re gonna do fact-finding, let’s do that first,” Cluck said, explaining his preference to see a completed second study before funding an additional inquiry into mitigation options.

The motion, initially tabled by the board, was ultimately removed from the agenda completely after a procedural question was raised by the board’s legal counsel.

Harrisburg City Council was expected to take up the question of spending on the sinkhole surveys at its legislative session Tuesday night, following a statement to that effect by council members at last week’s committee meeting. But, as of this writing, the relevant legislation had not been sent to the city clerk and would possibly not make the evening’s agenda, according to the clerk’s office.

 

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City Modifies Repair Plan for Flood-Damaged River Walk

Harrisburg submitted paperwork today to expand the scope of repairs to a section of sidewalk along the Susquehanna River that was damaged three years ago by Tropical Storm Lee, the city engineer’s office said Monday.

The repairs, one of several projects for which the city was awarded federal and state aid, are focused on a section of the river walk near the Shipoke neighborhood downtown, between I-83 and the railroad bridge.

Originally, the city planned to repair select parts of this stretch of the walk in a patchwork fashion, said Wayne Martin, the city engineer. But after discovering that soil beneath part of the walk had eroded, the city expanded the scope of work to include filling in the missing dirt and replacing the stretch of sidewalk in its entirety.

Rogele, Inc., a Harrisburg-based construction company, will still complete the project at the price quoted in their original bid, Martin said.

In January 2012, city officials under the administration of former Mayor Linda Thompson applied for about $2 million in aid to help mitigate the damage caused by Lee, whose rains severely flooded the Susquehanna the previous September.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency, or FEMA, ultimately approved 45 projects totaling $1,947,077, according to Ruth Miller, the deputy press secretary for the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency, which assists local applicants in the process of seeking aid.

In addition to the repairs to the river walk, those projects included replacing stacked rock in 18 separate locations along the riverfront embankment, performing electrical work on Sunken Gardens in Riverfront Park and replacing a set of concrete steps and railings at Locust Street that were washed out in the flood, among others.

The aid money was awarded as a mixture of cash advances for small projects and pledges for reimbursement upon the completion of larger ones. So far, the city has received $878,754 of its awarded funding, representing $671,741 from FEMA and $207,013 from the commonwealth, according to figures Miller provided.

Martin said Monday that the river walk repair work would be paused while the city waited for FEMA to approve the project’s change in scope. Despite the delay, all of the approved repair projects are expected to be completed by the end of October, he said.

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Harrisburg Sinkholes Could Cost Millions to Fix

The news for some South Harrisburg residents was not good last night, as an engineering firm provided its initial assessment of sinkhole activity along S. 14th Street.

Speaking before the Public Works Committee of City Council, engineers with Camp Hill-based Gannett Fleming said that a seismic study of the area revealed five fractures in the ground, some 40 to 50 feet deep.

“Despite backfilling of past sinkholes, areas of subsidence continue to develop, and the potential for future sinkhole activity is high,” said the Gannett Fleming study.

City Council will consider resolutions at its Tuesday meeting to fund two follow-up projects. The first is an extension of the seismic study to surrounding areas; the other is a report that will provide the city with options and cost estimates.

The cost to fully remediate the sinkhole problem along the street easily could exceed $1 million, said Richard Lee, principal geophysicist with Quantum Geophysics, a division of Gannett Fleming.

Council members and the administration both stated that the cash-strapped city does not have that kind of money available.

“This will take millions of dollars, and the city doesn’t have that,” said Harrisburg Mayor Eric Papenfuse.

Securing funds will require a fight for state and federal grants, an uncertain process that could take a long time.

“There are funding sources out there, but they are not easy to get,” said Papenfuse. “We’re going to go to work.”

Nine homes have been condemned on the 1400-block of S. 14th Street since March, when a water main broke, loosening ground and causing sinkholes to appear. The area long has been prone to sinkhole formation.

Numerous residents attended the meeting last night, and several shared heartbreaking stories of having their houses condemned or, if not, living under the threat of sinkholes forming. Sheena Mosley said she is struggling to pay rent after her house, which has a sinkhole beneath it, was deemed unfit for habitation.

Nikole Stewart recently moved out of the area to Georgia. However, she still owns her S. 14th Street house.

“What are we supposed to tell the mortgage company?” she said, urging the city to buy out homeowners along the street. “What are we supposed to tell our creditors?”

While sympathetic to the plight of residents, council members admitted there was little they could do to permanently fix the situation.

“The answers that you need, we cannot provide you with right now,” said Councilwoman Sandra Reid, chairwoman of the Public Works Committee.

To download a copy of the Gannett Fleming sinkhole study, click here.

 

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Some Very Good Numbers

The National Civil War Museum in Reservoir Park.

The National Civil War Museum in Reservoir Park.

In a report before the Dauphin County commissioners Wednesday morning, representatives of Harrisburg’s National Civil War Museum made a detailed case for the museum’s continued receipt of a county subsidy that has funded between one-quarter and one-third of its budget for the past six years.

CEO Wayne Motts, reciting what he referred to at one point as “some very good numbers,” told the commissioners that museum visitors spent an estimated $5.7 million in the region last year, representing a nearly 2,000-percent return on the museum’s $296,000 share of county tax dollars.

Where did these numbers come from? It’s a well-worn truth that numbers, manipulated in just the right way, can tell whatever story you want them to. As the British Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli is supposed to have said (he was quoted, quite possibly apocryphally, by Mark Twain), “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.”

The statistics in the museum’s report this week are not lies, but they aren’t the whole truth, either. They were obtained by a series of simple calculations, performed on a relatively small set of figures from three main sources.

The first two sources come from the museum itself. One is the museum’s annual visitor tally, which clocked in at 38,688 in 2013-14. (The museum reports figures corresponding with its fiscal year, which runs from July 1 to June 30.) Of these, 4,664 were school-age visitors who came in groups, and another 472 were people who self-reported as having come from Harrisburg zip codes.

The second source is survey data collected and tabulated by the museum from a subset of visitors. Last year, according to Motts, 601 visitors responded to the museum survey; over the past four years, there have been a total of 2,099 respondents. Of last year’s 601 respondents, 39 percent said they had stayed in a hotel, which matches pretty closely the figure for respondents who stayed in hotels over the past four years (36 percent).

In its report, the museum filters these visitation numbers through a third source, provided by an outside party—the most recent “Economic Impact of Travel and Tourism in Pennsylvania” study, performed by the consulting company Tourism Economics. The study, which is commissioned each year by the Pennsylvania Tourism Office, aims to give a detailed picture of how tourism impacts the state economy. Last year’s study, released in December, analyzes data from 2012.

Using these sources, the museum calculates what is meant to be its “direct economic impact” on the region. Here’s how it works. The museum subtracts school-age visitors and Harrisburg residents from the raw visitor total, arriving at an estimated number of tourist visitors of 33,552. Then, using the percentages from its in-house surveys, the museum sorts these visitors into “day-trip leisure” visitors (20,326) and “overnight leisure” visitors who stayed in a hotel (13,226). Finally, the report multiplies each of these subgroups by average spending data from the Tourism Economics study, which is conveniently already sorted along the same lines ($111 per day-tripper, and $265 per overnight visitor per trip).

Based on these calculations, the report arrives at a “direct economic impact” for the museum of $5,761,076: the sum of the $3,504,890 and $2,256,186 spent by overnight visitors and day-trippers, respectively, in 2013-14. The visitors spend their money, the Tourism Economics study tells us, on lodging, food and beverages, retail, entertainment and transportation.

How reliable are these figures? Christopher Pike, the director of impact studies at Tourism Economics, told me that, for the most part, the museum’s calculations were reasonable. He noted that the museum used average spending figures from 2012, which, preliminary research shows, were likely 1 to 3 percent lower than the corresponding figures for 2013. Combined with the decision to exclude school-age visitors, this meant the museum’s estimates “maintained some conservative-ness,” Pike said.

On the other hand, the museum’s calculations assume that the museum—and not other regional attractions—is the primary draw for tourists who walk through its doors. “If you wanted to be an academic stickler, you’d want to break out visitors they attracted to Harrisburg,” as opposed to people for whom the museum was merely a side attraction, Pike said.

Nonetheless, it was Pike’s conclusion that the museum’s report presented, on balance, a respectable analysis. “It’s much more detailed than what I’ve seen from a lot of other places,” he said. Given that museum staff did the calculations themselves, “they’ve not done a bad job.”

There is one notable exception, however. That is the museum’s purported rate of “return on investment,” which the report tabulates at an eye-catching 1,942 percent. The museum arrived at this figure by dividing the $5.7 million it says it generated last year by the $296,646 in hotel taxes it received. (These taxes come out of the $500,000-or-so portion of hotel taxes designated for marketing the city—which, speaking of numbers, is not “one-quarter of one percent” of hotel tax revenues, as is often cited elsewhere, but one-quarter of about one-fifth of them, or about 5 percent.)

Returns on investment, or ROIs, “can be calculated in many, many ways,” Pike said. He declined to give an opinion on the “right” method, though he did laugh when the museum’s reported figure was quoted. Another way to come up with the museum’s ROI would be to compare the hotel taxes it receives with the hotel taxes it generates—which, if you follow the assumptions of its other calculations, comes out to around $36,801. That leads to the rather dismal return of 12 cents for every tax dollar received, meaning the museum cost the county nearly $260,000 last year.

On Thursday, Motts responded to the suggestion of this less flattering figure by saying the museum had followed the ROI-calculation method of the Hershey Harrisburg Regional Visitors Bureau, the county tourism promotion agency which serves as a pass-through for the museum’s tax funding and to which the museum reports on its marketing activities each year. The museum should be “held to the same standard” as other regional tourist draws, which calculate their impact the same way, he said. (Motts also reiterated Pike’s points about the comparatively high level of detail in the museum’s visitor data and the conservative nature of its estimates.)

But there are yet other ways to measure return on investment—ways that have less to do with tourism money today, and more to do with history. The museum began receiving its dedicated share of hotel taxes from the county in 2008, when its annual visitor base was nearly 44,000. The money was to be spent on marketing and promotions, which the museum says it is, although Harrisburg Mayor Eric Papenfuse, who catapulted the museum’s tax funding into headlines by asking the county to freeze it, has challenged this. In any case, despite the boost to marketing, the museum’s visitor total this year represents a decline of 5,000 people—and that’s in a year that included the sesquicentennial of the battle of Gettysburg.

Or what about another measure of return on investment, which would compare the city’s share of the costs of the museum’s creation with the city’s share of its rewards? The building itself, as museum leadership likes to point out, was paid for with $16.2 million in state money. But the state money required a city match, which was supplied by at least as many millions in Civil War artifacts acquired on the city’s dime. The museum now leases those artifacts—and the building, whose fair market rental value is estimated at $633,000 per year—at an annual rate of $1.

There are other numbers to consider, too. Seven, for instance, which is the number of City Council members (that is to say, all of them) who voted last month to back Papenfuse’s request to cut the museum’s funding. Or 25, which is the number of years on the museum’s lease, extended by former Mayor Stephen Reed in the last two months of his 28-year reign. Or how about 1.2 million—the number of dollars the city has paid the museum directly since 2000, for employee benefits and construction costs and any number of other things.

These numbers, not surprisingly, were not part of the museum’s presentation to the county commissioners this week. Yet they tell an important part of the story, too. It’s for the commissioners—and for city residents, in assessing whose interests the commissioners represent—to decide how many of the numbers to listen to. Will it be some of them, or all of them, or none?

An earlier version of this article referred incorrectly to the museum’s proportion of hotel taxes. The figure “about 5 percent” refers to the portion of county hotel tax revenue designated for marketing the city, not only the portion spent on the museum.

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